Schengen visa refusal odds by country and consulate (India, latest data)
The base rate for the queue you are about to join, straight from the European Commission's consulate returns.
What this number is, and is not
It is the share of uniform visa applications lodged at that consulate in 2025 that were refused, from the European Commission's consulate statistics. It is a base rate for the queue you will join. It is not a prediction about your file: a complete, consistent, honest application at a 25% consulate beats a thin one at a 5% consulate. What the base rate tells you is how much scrutiny to expect and how much margin to leave in your plans if you need to reapply.
The multi-entry share is the fraction of issued visas that were multiple-entry, which is worth knowing if you hope to return within the visa's validity; the Article 24 cascade rewards a clean history, but consulates apply it very differently.
- European Commission, Visa statistics for consulates, 2014 to 2025 releases: https://home-affairs.ec.europa.eu/policies/schengen-borders-and-visa/visa-policy/short-stay-visas-issued-schengen-countries_en
Questions this page answers
Is the refusal rate a prediction for my application?
No. It is the share of applications that consulate refused last year, a base rate. Your documents, travel history and consistency move your personal odds far more than which consulate you land in.
Why do consulates of the same country differ so much?
Each consulate examines its own files with its own staff and local Schengen cooperation guidance; the Visa Code sets the rules but not the strictness. That is why we publish the data per consulate rather than per country only.